Inside Ball

4 Posts tagged with the netbooks tag

A key differentiator between netbooks and notebooks is that notebooks, by and large, provide a lot more internal storage than netbooks.


Western Digital, with an announcement today, may be pushing that delta yet wider.  The company rolled out its WD Scorpio Blue 640-GB hard disk drive in industry-standard 9.5mm, two-disk form factor.


This is a big deal, given the ever-growing need for capacity as the universe of available, high-quality digital media continues to expand.   While it's true that manufacturers could find a way to build netbooks with these drives, the price tag set by Western Digital is $149. That's not much for a drive of that capacity, but it's probably too expensive to be economically realistic for netbooks which, to be competitive, can't usually be priced at more than $350 or $400.


Predictions of a continued explosion in netbook sales have been dominating discussion in this area. But as the economy rebounds, and the market's taste for more graphics and media expands, so will the need for on-board storage.


It's difficult to see how netbooks can keep up with that -- especially when vendors like Western Digital are providing weapons to OEMs and system builders like their 640-GB capacity drive. If we see more high-capacity, mobile drives, it will help notebook sales and hurt netbook sales -- unless storage pricing somehow craters. There are no signs of that happening.

 

Western Digital's announcement is a good sign for notebooks.

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I've had the opportunity to review three netbooks in the past couple of weeks, and all are really nice devices. They're designed well, do what they're supposed to do, and are inexpensive. (We'll be publishing the reviews in text and video shortly.)


All of the major PC and notebook makers are now in the netbook game. You can tell the investments these companies have made in engineering over the years are now paying off. Chassis look slick. Keyboards are as comfortable as they can be at that price point and size. Intel's Atom processors are fine for the money.


And, yet . . . I just can't feel the love for them.


I can access about 80 percent of my important data from my iPhone when I'm mobile, and my iPhone fits in my pocket. When I'm at home or work, I enjoy the benefits of a full-size keyboard and monitor, in addition to quad-core CPU performance on my desktop. Netbooks are convenient when traveling on a plane, no doubt, because they're small enough to fit into a suitcase that slides into an overhead rack. But is that worth the trade-off of $300 and the ability to do more than one or two things at a time? For me, no.


And don't tell me, "I loaded Windows 7 onto a netbook, and it's wonderful." It's wonderful because, so far, Windows 7 has been a free, prerelease operating system. Tell me how wonderful it is when you're paying $259 so you can load it onto $150 worth of hardware.


You're smart people. Tell me: Will netbooks last in this market? Am I missing something?

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Advanced Micro Devices reports quarterly earnings this week, and there is already conversation that the company will be hard-pressed to match Intel’s better-than-expected, quarterly numbers.


That’s correct, but it’s also misplaced. AMD doesn’t need to keep pace with Intel this quarter. It should have its own, unique criteria for success including:


- Credibility with the channel. That means keeping supply strong, hitting its release targets and delivering stable, reliable product;

- Keeping margins strong. AMD has made a strategic decision to avoid the very attractive netbook space -- Intel saw 65 percent growth in its Atom business last quarter -- and focus instead on delivering into the less flashy notebook, desktop and server spaces;

- Growth in its ATI graphics business, which differentiates itself from Intel and which could be a stronger foundation for growth in AMD's custom system business going forward.


Traditionally, AMD does best when it sticks to the basics, focuses on its partners and stays out of the headlines. Headlines, like the kind it made 18 months ago with its Barcelona troubles, are generally the kind AMD likes to avoid.


The decision to sit out the netbook play eliminates pricing complexity that AMD didn’t need anyway, in a segment that is still trying to find its legs.


The question tonight: Can AMD find its legs for the second half of 2009?

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First, let it be clear that nobody has seen Google's Chrome OS, which the search giant announced Tuesday night. There have been no performance benchmarks, usability evaluations, nothing. In a vacuum like that, people have a tendency to project their hopes or biases or suspicions into what a product or technology will likely be.


Google Chrome OS could wind up being a perfectly great piece of software. On its corporate blog last night, Sundar Pichai, a vice president of Product Management and  Engineering Director at Google, wrote:


"We're designing the OS to be fast and lightweight, to start up and get you onto the web in a few seconds. The user interface is minimal to stay out of your way, and most of the user experience takes place on the web."

 

Sounds great.


Sounds like the latest version of Ubuntu, or iPhone 3.0.

 

Google is targeting the netbook space with Google Chrome OS, as it did fostering the Android OS to target the handheld space. Android has been out on the market for several months and, while its users do like it, it hasn't exactly been setting the world on fire. And while netbooks came on like gangbusters in late 2007 and the first half of 2008, it's unclear if they can maintain any kind of momentum as smart phones get more and more powerful and as full-blown notebooks become less and less expensive.


The key elements of Chrome OS are security, simplicity and speed, Pichai says. We'll wait to see about memory requirements, driver support, application support, battery life and all the messy details that have kept the folks at Microsoft, Apple and the Linux developers around the world up nights. How much support will Google provide? Or will it leave it to the open source community?


The further Google gets away from its core search business, the more difficult it may be for it to focus on those details. And if Google doesn't quite believe it, the folks there need only look at how successful Microsoft has been the further it's gotten away from its core operating system business.

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